SignalMacro

CBOE Crude Oil Volatility $65.31 ↑ 2.4% 63th %ile (fear) • KXWTI 8.5% — $117 or above

Kalshi: KXWTI 8.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026?

What changed

Kalshi: KXWTI 8.5% — Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >116.99 on Nov 3, 2026? Percentile: 63th in 90d range | Regime: fear

Why it matters

Crude volatility at 60th percentile in fear regime with 8.5% probability of $117+ oil.

Sources

futures